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NewsGeneral Election 2015: Estimated Results by TK Research: UNF 105; UPFA 89; JVP16; TNA 14

General Election 2015: Estimated Results by TK Research: UNF 105; UPFA 89; JVP16; TNA 14

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General Election 2015: Estimated Results by TK Research & Solution (Pvt) Ltd.

Read the revised report here: Estimated Results 12-08-2015 with Bonus Seat Allocation

First of all, we would like to thank all the respondents who participated both online and offline surveys.

Total no of registered voters for General Election, will be 15,044,490 and it is expected that 66.18% (9,956,443) voters will cast their vote in upcoming
General Election.

Based on our final estimation as at 12th August 2015, United National Party (UNP) will win the General Election 2015 with majority of more than
1.2 million votes over United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA).

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Based on the current situation, United National Party will obtain 110 parliamentary seats followed by UPFA (84), JVP (16) and TNA (14).

Summary of Composition of the Parliament (General Election 2015)
Name of the Party Total No of Seats Estimated Votes
United National Party (UNP)                                                                           110                                                                                            4,927,317
United People’s Freedom Alliance (UPFA)                                                    84                                                                                             3,704,266
Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP)                                                                16                                                                                                  722,282
Tamil National Alliance (TNA)                                                                         14                                                                                                 332,581
Democratic Party (DP)                                                                                       01                                                                                                  179,529

Estimated District Results (General Election 2015)

District                                                                             UNP                       UPFA                          JVP                       TNA                            DP
Colombo                                                                          11                                 6                                 2                              –                                 –
Gampaha                                                                         9                                  7                                  2                               –                               –
Kalutara                                                                          4                                   5                                  1                               –                                –
Kandy                                                                              7                                   4                                  1                               –                                –
Matale                                                                             3                                    2                                 –                               –                                 –
Nuwara Eliya                                                                 6                                    2                                 –                               –                                 –
Galle                                                                                4                                    5                                  1                              –                                  –
Matara                                                                            3                                    4                                  1                               –                                 –
Hambantota                                                                  3                                    3                                   1                              –                                 –
Rathnapura                                                                   4                                    6                                   1                              –                                  –
Kegalle                                                                           5                                     4                                   –                               –                                 –
Anuradhapura                                                             4                                     4                                    1                              –                                 –
Polonnaruwa                                                                2                                     2                                    1                              –                                –
Kurunegala                                                                   7                                      7                                    1                               –                               –
Puttalam                                                                       5                                      3                                     –                             –                                 –
Badulla                                                                          6                                       2                                     –                             –                                 –
Monaragala                                                                  2                                       2                                    1                             –                                  –
Batticaloa                                                                      2                                       –                                     –                              3                               –
Digamadulla                                                                 5                                       2                                     –                             –                                 –
Trincomalee                                                                 1                                        1                                     –                              2                                –
Vanni                                                                             1                                        1                                      –                             4                                –

Jaffna                                                                            2                                       1                                     –                               4                                  –

Total District Basis Seats                              96                                   73                                   14                            13                           0

 

National Basis Seats                                       14                                    11                                   2                                 1                               1

 

Total Seats                                                         110                                   84                                 16                               14                              1

It is important to note that above estimated results analyzed based on the current political situation (as of 12th August 2015) and perception of over 12,500 respondents participated for the independent pre-election survey conducted in all 25 administrative districts in Sri Lanka.

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